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PRESS RELEASE:Fitch Sees Number Of Europe CLO middle management Declining.
Vincent Bond
23 July 2008
Fitch Ratings-London-22 July 2008 : Fitch Ratings asserts in a special report that challenging conditions in the EU leveraged loan market are certain to lead to consolidation in the fragmented collateralised loan duty ( CLO ) asset management industry. Fitch expects larger divergence in EU leveraged loan credit performance to bare differences between bosses ' capacities and, at last, business viability, that has stayed principally untested so far. "The number of ECU CLO bosses is certain to decline by about 20% in the subsequent 3 years" announces Manuel Arrive, a Director in the Fund and Asset Management rating Group. "Manager replacement or withdrawal from the market, instead of coalitions and acquisitions, will drive consolidation.". There are more than sixty EU CLO bosses, twelve which now have just one or 2 CLOs under management. This reflects that 60% of these CLO bosses entered the EU market opportunistically in 2006-7. The issue of finance viability of a CLO management platform becomes central in a deteriorating market. Based totally on a profitability study, Fitch concludes that 2 to 3 ECU CLOs of average size are sufficient to damage even in a benign credit environment. As defaults and troubled debt exchanges increase in frequency, the break-even point is anticipated to head to 4 or more CLOs, relying on the decrease in subordinated charges, which represent two-thirds of a chief's compensation. In the report, "European CLO Asset chiefs - Survival Of The Fittest : The Return", Fitch gives an updated overview of the development of the EU leveraged loan market and the CLO executive universe. The agency concentrates on the capacities had to manage CLOs in the present turbulent market, whilst surviving as a sustainable business in the long term. Consolidation among CLO chiefs with the exit of CLOs as principal syndication targets for leveraged loans will pose a threat to the refinancing of such loans in 2010 and beyond, when substantial debt amortisation wants will arise. Fitch so considers this unavoidable refinancing wave will need the restoration of the CLO enterprize model or, otherwise, the attraction of other long-term fixed financiers into leveraged loans.
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